Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8552
Similarity
0.8842

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
End Date: Jan 01, 2027 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.480
NO Price: $0.830
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.300
NO Price: $0.730
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8842
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxabrahamsa
Kalshi Milestone ID: 27
Polymarket Event Slug: israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 520579