Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI before Jan 1, 2026?
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9102
Similarity
0.8925
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI before Jan 1, 2026?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.410
NO Price:
$0.670
Polymarket Event
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.480
NO Price:
$0.650
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8925
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.955
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxaltmanequity
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-sam-altman-get-openai-equity-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
522678