Will the Labor party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8746
Similarity
0.8637
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Labor party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
End Date: Sep 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.830
NO Price:
$0.230
Polymarket Event
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
End Date: May 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.830
NO Price:
$0.180
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8637
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxaustralia
Kalshi Milestone ID:
l
Polymarket Event Slug:
australia-parliamentary-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
518209