Will the Liberal/National Coalition party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8954
Similarity
0.8902
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Liberal/National Coalition party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
End Date: Sep 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.210
NO Price:
$0.840
Polymarket Event
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
End Date: May 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.170
NO Price:
$0.840
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8902
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxaustralia
Kalshi Milestone ID:
lnc
Polymarket Event Slug:
australia-parliamentary-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
518332