Will the Greens party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?

Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9091
Similarity
0.9053

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Greens party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
End Date: Sep 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.010
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
End Date: May 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.002
NO Price: $0.999
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9053
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxaustralia
Kalshi Milestone ID: g
Polymarket Event Slug: australia-parliamentary-election-winner
Polymarket Event ID: 518333