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Will the Liberal/National Coalition party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8742
Similarity
0.8685
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Liberal/National Coalition party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
End Date: Sep 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.210
NO Price:
$0.840
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
End Date: May 03, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.440
NO Price:
N/A
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8685
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.965
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxaustralia
Kalshi Milestone ID:
lnc
Polymarket Event Slug:
australia-election-seat-of-brisbane
Polymarket Event ID:
537443