Will the Greens party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?

Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8891
Similarity
0.8796

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Greens party win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House of Representatives election?
End Date: Sep 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.010
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will The Greens win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?
End Date: May 03, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.015
NO Price: $0.999
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8796
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.998
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxaustralia
Kalshi Milestone ID: g
Polymarket Event Slug: australia-election-seat-of-bennelong
Polymarket Event ID: 537450