Will inflation in Brazil be below 5.50% in Dec 2025?
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8715
Similarity
0.8944
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will inflation in Brazil be below 5.50% in Dec 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.320
NO Price:
$0.780
Polymarket Event
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
End Date: Jan 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.380
NO Price:
$0.640
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.3200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.6400
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8944
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9151
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxbrazilinf
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25dec
Polymarket Event Slug:
brazils-12-month-inflation-below-5pt50-for-december-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
526936