Will unemployment in Brazil be below 6.3% in Q4 2025?
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9205
Similarity
0.9381
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 6.3% in Q4 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.340
NO Price:
$0.750
Polymarket Event
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.600
NO Price:
$0.930
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9381
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxbrazilu
Kalshi Milestone ID:
q42025
Polymarket Event Slug:
brazil-unemployment-below-6pt3-for-q4-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
526939