Will Howard Lutnick be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
7.18%
Match Score
0.8695
Similarity
0.9171
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Howard Lutnick be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.180
NO Price:
$0.830
Polymarket Event
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.103
NO Price:
$0.936
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1030, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9171
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9085
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535728