Will Scott Bessent be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
7.07%
Match Score
0.8598
Similarity
0.9003
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Scott Bessent be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.100
NO Price:
$0.910
Polymarket Event
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.024
NO Price:
$0.988
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0240, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9100
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9003
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.923
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535729