Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
0.40%
Match Score
0.8852
Similarity
0.9164

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.020
NO Price: $0.990
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.006
NO Price: $0.997
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0060, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9164
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9895
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID: 535730