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Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
0.40%
Match Score
0.8852
Similarity
0.9164
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.020
NO Price:
$0.990
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.006
NO Price:
$0.997
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0060, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.006
Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.990
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9164
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9895
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535730