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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8898
Similarity
0.9246
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.980
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$0.997
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9800
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.010
Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.980
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9246
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9815
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535732