Will Linda McMahon be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
4.06%
Match Score
0.8867
Similarity
0.9292

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Linda McMahon be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.070
NO Price: $0.950
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.011
NO Price: $0.993
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0110, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9500

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9292
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.949
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID: 535733