Will Marco Rubio be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
2.88%
Match Score
0.8688
Similarity
0.9031
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Marco Rubio be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.060
NO Price:
$0.950
Polymarket Event
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.022
NO Price:
$0.997
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0220, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9031
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9575
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535734