Will Pam Bondi be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8954
Similarity
0.9308

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Pam Bondi be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.040
NO Price: $0.990
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.016
NO Price: $0.993
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9308
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9865
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcabout
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID: 535737