Will Bloc Québécois get 2nd in the Canadian federal election?
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 26 and 30 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
17.65%
Match Score
0.8530
Similarity
0.8612
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Bloc Québécois get 2nd in the Canadian federal election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 26 and 30 seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.190
NO Price:
$0.840
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8400
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8612
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.835
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8027
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcan2nd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
of-seats-bloc-quebecois-win-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
529249