Will Bloc Québécois get 2nd in the Canadian federal election?
Will Bloc Quebecois win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
6.84%
Match Score
0.8825
Similarity
0.8737
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Bloc Québécois get 2nd in the Canadian federal election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Bloc Quebecois win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.075
NO Price:
$0.926
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9260
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8737
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9355
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8027
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcan2nd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
of-seats-bloc-quebecois-win-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
529250