Will the Conservative party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8993
Similarity
0.9003
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Conservative party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.860
Polymarket Event
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.160
NO Price:
$0.850
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9003
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5205
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
c
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
517585