Will the Liberal party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Arbitrage Profit
0.50%
Match Score
0.8969
Similarity
0.8973
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Liberal party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.860
NO Price:
$0.150
Polymarket Event
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.845
NO Price:
$0.156
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.8450, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.1500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8973
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9895
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5205
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
l
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
517586