Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?

Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9169
Similarity
0.8903

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.010
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.007
NO Price: $0.995
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8903
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.996
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID: bq
Polymarket Event Slug: which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID: 517595