Will the New Democratic party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8923
Similarity
0.859
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the New Democratic party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.001
NO Price:
N/A
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.859
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9905
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
nd
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
517596