Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
5.37%
Match Score
0.8846
Similarity
0.875
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.077
NO Price:
$0.939
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9390
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.875
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.941
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8027
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
bq
Polymarket Event Slug:
of-seats-bloc-quebecois-win-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
529246