Will the Green party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will the Green Party win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
16.28%
Match Score
0.8559
Similarity
0.8811
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Green party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the Green Party win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.180
NO Price:
$0.850
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8811
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.845
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5205
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
g
Polymarket Event Slug:
of-seats-the-green-party-wins-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
529258