Will the Green party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?

Will the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8856
Similarity
0.8809

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Green party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.010
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.005
NO Price: $0.996
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8809
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5205
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID: g
Polymarket Event Slug: which-party-wins-3rd-most-seats-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID: 529309