Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
6.38%
Match Score
0.8917
Similarity
0.9053
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Bloc Québécois party win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons election?
End Date: Oct 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.083
NO Price:
$0.930
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9053
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9335
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5205
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanadaparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
bq
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-quebec
Polymarket Event ID:
530840