between 16 to 20 Bloc Québécois seats won?
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 16 and 20 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8726
Similarity
0.8545
Market Details
Kalshi Market
between 16 to 20 Bloc Québécois seats won?
End Date: Nov 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.220
NO Price:
$0.840
Polymarket Event
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 16 and 20 seats in the next Canadian Election?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.250
NO Price:
$0.770
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2200, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.7700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8545
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.95
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanbqseats
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
of-seats-bloc-quebecois-win-in-canadian-election
Polymarket Event ID:
529247