Will Liberal majority make up the next government of Canada?
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9234
Similarity
0.9685
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Liberal majority make up the next government of Canada?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.650
NO Price:
$0.360
Polymarket Event
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.640
NO Price:
$0.380
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9685
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.985
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcancoalition
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
next-government-of-canada
Polymarket Event ID:
531734