Will Liberal minority make up the next government of Canada?
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.9192
Similarity
0.9642
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Liberal minority make up the next government of Canada?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.180
NO Price:
$0.830
Polymarket Event
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.200
NO Price:
$0.810
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.1800, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8100
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9642
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcancoalition
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
next-government-of-canada
Polymarket Event ID:
531735