Will Conservative minority make up the next government of Canada?
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.9187
Similarity
0.969
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Conservative minority make up the next government of Canada?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.100
NO Price:
$0.910
Polymarket Event
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.140
NO Price:
$0.870
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.1000, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.969
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcancoalition
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
next-government-of-canada
Polymarket Event ID:
531737