Will Liberal and NDP coalition make up the next government of Canada?
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
Arbitrage Profit
0.60%
Match Score
0.8612
Similarity
0.8849
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Liberal and NDP coalition make up the next government of Canada?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.020
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.004
NO Price:
$0.999
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0040, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8849
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9875
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcancoalition
Kalshi Milestone ID:
30
Polymarket Event Slug:
next-government-of-canada
Polymarket Event ID:
531738