Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
5.26%
Match Score
0.8652
Similarity
0.9042
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
End Date: Jan 21, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.870
Polymarket Event
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.930
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0800, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9042
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.935
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcanterritory
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-the-us-acquire-canadian-territory-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
527293