Will core inflation rise more than 0.3% in April?
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8944
Similarity
0.8752
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will core inflation rise more than 0.3% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.240
NO Price:
$0.820
Polymarket Event
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.280
NO Price:
$0.740
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2400, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.7400
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8752
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.94
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcpicore
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr
Polymarket Event Slug:
april-inflation-monthly
Polymarket Event ID:
535927