Will core inflation rise more than 0.2% in April?
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?
Arbitrage Profit
16.28%
Match Score
0.8558
Similarity
0.8878
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will core inflation rise more than 0.2% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.720
NO Price:
$0.330
Polymarket Event
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.530
NO Price:
$0.490
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.5300, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.3300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8878
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.825
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcpicore
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr
Polymarket Event Slug:
april-inflation-annual
Polymarket Event ID:
535930