Will core inflation rise more than 0.3% in April?
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.8870
Similarity
0.8666
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will core inflation rise more than 0.3% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.240
NO Price:
$0.820
Polymarket Event
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.280
NO Price:
$0.730
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2400, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.7300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8666
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.935
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcpicore
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr
Polymarket Event Slug:
april-inflation-annual
Polymarket Event ID:
535931