Will core inflation rise more than 0.4% in April?

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in April?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8978
Similarity
0.873

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will core inflation rise more than 0.4% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.130
NO Price: $0.920
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.870
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.873
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.965
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxcpicore
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25apr
Polymarket Event Slug: april-inflation-annual
Polymarket Event ID: 535932