Will core inflation rise more than 0.5% in April?
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8691
Similarity
0.8605
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will core inflation rise more than 0.5% in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.070
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?
End Date: May 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.039
NO Price:
$0.972
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8605
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9935
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxcpicore
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr
Polymarket Event Slug:
april-inflation-annual
Polymarket Event ID:
535934