Will total U.S. debt be above $38T at the end of 2025? – Above $38 trillion
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9108
Similarity
0.8905
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will total U.S. debt be above $38T at the end of 2025? – Above $38 trillion
End Date: Jan 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.800
NO Price:
$0.240
Polymarket Event
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.810
NO Price:
$0.220
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8905
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.985
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9178
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxdebtlevel
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-us-national-debt-surpass-38-trillion-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
517320