Will DeepSeek release R2 before May 2025?

DeepSeek R2 released before May?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9201
Similarity
0.8963

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will DeepSeek release R2 before May 2025?
End Date: May 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.160
NO Price: $0.880
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

DeepSeek R2 released before May?
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.890
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8963
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxdeepseekr2release
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: deepseek-r2-released-before-may
Polymarket Event ID: 520266