Will DeepSeek release V4 before May 2025?

DeepSeek V4 released before May?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9191
Similarity
0.9044

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will DeepSeek release V4 before May 2025?
End Date: May 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.080
NO Price: $0.990
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

DeepSeek V4 released before May?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.060
NO Price: $0.960
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9044
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.995
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8356
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxdeepseekv4release
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: deepseek-v4-released-before-may
Polymarket Event ID: 520265