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Will DeepSeek release V4 before May 2025?
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.8720
Similarity
0.8522
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will DeepSeek release V4 before May 2025?
End Date: May 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.990
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
End Date: Apr 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.890
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0800, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8900
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.080
Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.890
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8522
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxdeepseekv4release
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
deepseek-r2-released-before-may
Polymarket Event ID:
520266