Will the Aston Villa win the FA Cup?
Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8933
Similarity
0.863
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the Aston Villa win the FA Cup?
End Date: May 17, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.250
NO Price:
$0.760
Polymarket Event
Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
End Date: May 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.270
NO Price:
$0.740
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.2500, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.7400
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.863
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfacup
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
fa-cup-champion
Polymarket Event ID:
523046