Will Trump next nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Arbitrage Profit
36.61%
Match Score
0.8538
Similarity
0.9474
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.430
NO Price:
$0.590
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.142
NO Price:
$0.869
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1420, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.5900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9474
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.7165
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
Polymarket Event ID:
515448