Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair?

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?
Arbitrage Profit
11.86%
Match Score
0.8908
Similarity
0.9548

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.890
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.004
NO Price: $0.997
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0040, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8900

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9548
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8735
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
Polymarket Event ID: 515449