Will Trump next nominate Arthur Laffer as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
Arbitrage Profit
0.10%
Match Score
0.9119
Similarity
0.9528
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Arthur Laffer as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.009
NO Price:
$0.996
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0090, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9528
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9865
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
Polymarket Event ID:
515450