Will Trump next nominate Larry Kudlow as Fed Chair?

Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
Arbitrage Profit
6.84%
Match Score
0.9029
Similarity
0.9584

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump next nominate Larry Kudlow as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.100
NO Price: $0.930
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.006
NO Price: $0.995
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0060, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9300

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9584
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9205
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
Polymarket Event ID: 515451