Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
Arbitrage Profit
7.64%
Match Score
0.9025
Similarity
0.9604
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.110
NO Price:
$0.920
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.009
NO Price:
$0.997
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0090, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9200
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9604
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.911
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july
Polymarket Event ID:
515452