Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair?

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
6.38%
Match Score
0.8580
Similarity
0.9013

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.890
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.970
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0500, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8900

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9013
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.91
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID: 29
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair
Polymarket Event ID: 538292