Will Trump next nominate Arthur Laffer as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8566
Similarity
0.8835
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Arthur Laffer as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.060
NO Price:
$0.960
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0300, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8835
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.97
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair
Polymarket Event ID:
538293