Will Trump next nominate Larry Kudlow as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8689
Similarity
0.9025
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Larry Kudlow as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.100
NO Price:
$0.930
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.050
NO Price:
$0.960
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0500, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9300
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9025
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair
Polymarket Event ID:
538294